At Intel's Investor Day today, CEO Bob Swan and Murthy Renduchintala spoke to the ability of the company with respect to its manufacturing capabilities. Intel has historically been strong in its ability to execute on its process technology, however the delay of its 10nm process has obviously raised multiple question marks, and has done for several years. The two Intel executives went into a little detail about what Intel was doing in the interim, and how it has learned from the issues.

Back in 2013, Intel envisoned its 10nm to succeed the 14nm by providing 2.7x density, with new technologies such as Self-Aligned Quad Patterning (SAQP), Contact over Active Gate (COAG), Cobolt Interconnects, and new packaging technologies such as EMIB and Foveros. Intel admits that this was an ambitious plan, and the goals were not clearly defined with the teams and it was ultimately overly complex and not managed in an ideal way.

This ended up pushing 10nm out into a later time frame. In this case, Intel pushed 10nm out to 2019 (technically they shipped Cannon Lake in small quantities on 10nm in 2017, however that is nothing more than a curio in the timeline of semiconductors), and filled the gap with 14+ and 14++.

Intels 14+ and 14++ processes extracted more than 20% more performance (from Broadwell to Whiskey Lake) from the process since its inception. As a result, Intel is prepared to not only get ready for future intra-node optimizations, but actually adjust the roadmap to compensate for it. Murthy made it clear that Intel wants to introduce a Moore's Law-like gain at the beginning of a new process, and another similar gain by the end of the process.

Intel has stated that its 10nm product family (beyond Cannon Lake) will start to be available from the middle of this year (2019), with Ice Lake on client platforms (notebooks).

Intel will be launching multiple 10nm products through 2019 and 2020, including server based 10nm in the first half of 2020:

In the above slide, Intel states that it will have 7nm in production and launching a product in 2021. That sounds very aggressive for a company that has had issues with 10nm. It even shows in Intels radmap, with 10nm (and 10+ and 10++) having a much shorter life cycle than the 14nm family of processes.

With this in mind, Intel's 7nm is going to be the combination of what Intel has learned from the 14nm and 10nm family of products. Intel wants that 2x scaling (Moores Law), but with intra-node optimations planned as part of the roadmap. Intel is also reducing its number of design rules, which should help with execution. 7nm will also be where Intel intersects with EUV, and also introduce next-gen Foveros and EMIB packainging.

Intel provided this slide, which shows a monolithic PC-Centric die with a multi-die Data-Centric chip built on both Foveros and EMIB. This corroborates our discussion with Intel's chiplet and packaging team, who also stated that we would see Foveros and EMIB on a combined product - specifically the GPU.

Intel announced that its lead 7nm product (lead = top, or lead = first?) would be its new GPGPU, built on the Xe graphics architecture. Intel has stated that its Xe product stack will feature two different microarchitectures from mobile client up to GPGPU, with one of those architectures called Arctic Sound - technically Intel will launch its first discrete GPU in 2020 according to its press release, however the 7nm GPGPU will be launched in 2021.

More information is coming out of Intel's Event, more to follow.

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Source: Intel

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  • HStewart - Thursday, May 9, 2019 - link

    "Seeing is believing."

    The articles and slides from Intel state "Shipping in June", and June is a month away so I think it is time to start believing. It is coming and days of blaming 14nm and Skylake is over with. Not only that so its all the Spectre/Meltdown stuff - all part of past coming in June.
  • AshlayW - Thursday, May 9, 2019 - link

    So I can buy a high-performance, 10nm Intel CPU at 4.5GHZ~ in June (also at a fair price)? Cool. But I think I'll still get a 3700X. :)
  • Bulat Ziganshin - Thursday, May 9, 2019 - link

    Almost Yes, but it will be announcements (add 3-6 months for real availability) of 2-4 core ice lakes for notebooks
  • peevee - Thursday, May 9, 2019 - link

    Meaning 2GHz, not 4.5. Huge difference in terms of power required and dissipated.
  • HStewart - Thursday, May 9, 2019 - link

    I believe mobile which is Intel's primary is first, but it sounds like desktop/server is coming later. Keep in mind - that with Sunny Cove, it is expected that performance per Ghz has increase. The rumors above Intel 10nm appear to be wrong - stating that desktop/server were in 2021 or so. that it was delay.

    So we will find out specs once Intel official releases the product specs. I would not doubt higher than 4 cores on notebooks
  • psychobriggsy - Thursday, May 9, 2019 - link

    Heh. No.

    You'll be able to buy a 2C/4C (or 6C!) mobile CPU (15W) that might have single core turbo to 4GHz, but base clocks under 3GHz.
  • arashi - Thursday, May 9, 2019 - link

    Of course Intel marketing tells us to believe.
  • Bulat Ziganshin - Thursday, May 9, 2019 - link

    Spectre etc stuff is about fundamentals of CS. It's not Intel-specific bug, researchers just started with most popular cpu on the market. So, this type of backdoors will be with use until scientists will find model that combines modern speed with better security. Until that, we will see only patches against particular attacks priorly published. And then new attacks - it's endless endeavor.
  • Lord of the Bored - Friday, May 10, 2019 - link

    Seeing is believing, and it isn't June yet.
    I'll believe it when I see it.
  • eastcoast_pete - Wednesday, May 8, 2019 - link

    Thanks! Eagerly awaiting news whether Intel shows any samples of their new chips to demonstrate that their process is at least working at the laboratory level. Given the debacle with their previous/current 10 nm node, some samples of actual silicon would be a lot more convincing than another set of PowerPoint slides.

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